The Dynamic Effect of International Trade Institutions on Social Regulation

نویسنده

  • Johannes Urpelainen
چکیده

How do international trade institutions shape social regulations? I develop a dynamic model of domestic regulation under international trade institutions. While international trade institutions invalidate harmful protectionist regulations, they could also indirectly increase regulation by inducing citizens to dismantle domestic institutional constraints on it. If the total effect is a reduction in regulation, international trade institutions weaken special interests by reducing the probability of regulatory protection in the long run. This positive reinforcement benefits societies that have previously chosen high levels of regulation. But if the total effect is an expansion of regulation, international trade institutions could increase regulatory protection and thus strengthen special interests. Paradoxically, the potential for negative externalities could also increase. This negative reinforcement hurts societies that have previously chosen low levels of regulation. The vicious circle stems from a previously unrecognized commitment problem in international politics and provides a novel rationale for market instruments in regulation. ∗I thank Christina Schneider for valuable advice.

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تاریخ انتشار 2010